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Unvaccinated people are 72 percent more likely to be involved in traffic crashes, according to a new study.
Two of the most polarized groups in the U.S. are those who are COVID-19-vaccinated and those who have not gotten vaccinated for whatever reason. A new study published in the American Journal of Medicine in December 2022 sought to determine if COVID vaccination — or a lack thereof — is associated with a higher risk of traffic crashes.
To find out, researchers studied 11.27 million people over a one-month period in Ontario, Canada, where vaccines became widely available in the spring of 2021. Of the study’s participants, 16 percent were unvaccinated, while 84 percent were vaccinated. During the month, there were 6,683 crashes among the participants who required emergency medical care. So, what kind of correlation did there appear to be between vaccination status and driving behavior?
The study found that COVID vaccination hesitancy correlated with an increased risk of a traffic crash. This was true across all crash severities and vaccine manufacturers.
For this study, the researchers used the World Health Organization’s definition of vaccine hesitancy, which is ”the reluctance or refusal to vaccinate despite the availability of vaccines”.1
Although unvaccinated people made up only 16 percent of the study’s participants, they were involved in 25 percent of the traffic crashes during this time period, making them 72 percent more likely to be involved in crashes compared to vaccinated people.
The study divided the participants into multiple subgroups, determining the accident risk for the vaccinated versus unvaccinated in each subset. Across almost every demographic, the unvaccinated were more likely to get into car crashes. The one exception was adults 65 years of age and older, also known as senior drivers. But even after adjusting for home location, sex, age, socioeconomic status, and people who have certain medical diagnoses such as sleep apnea, which make crashes more likely, the unvaccinated were still 48 percent more likely to be involved in car crashes compared to the vaccinated.
Demographic | Risk with vaccine per million | Risk with no vaccine per million | Risk of a car crash for unvaccinated vs. vaccinated people |
---|---|---|---|
18-39 | 701 | 1,198 | 71% |
40-64 | 517 | 711 | 38% |
65 and older | 337 | 319 | -5% |
Men | 619 | 1,168 | 89% |
Women | 449 | 651 | 45% |
Urban home | 530 | 913 | 72% |
Rural home | 537 | 899 | 67% |
Higher socioeconomic status | 513 | 815 | 59% |
Middle socioeconomic status | 506 | 840 | 66% |
Lower socioeconomic status | 564 | 1,011 | 79% |
Alcoholism | 1,616 | 2,293 | 42% |
No alcoholism | 526 | 901 | 71% |
Sleep apnea | 647 | 1,094 | 69% |
No sleep apnea | 524 | 903 | 72% |
Diabetes | 451 | 564 | 25% |
No diabetes | 540 | 934 | 73% |
Depression | 758 | 1,324 | 75% |
No depression | 498 | 843 | 69% |
Dementia | 184 | 868 | 372% |
No dementia | 536 | 912 | 70% |
Hypertension | 380 | 469 | 23% |
No hypertension | 550 | 943 | 71% |
Cancer | 451 | 638 | 41% |
No cancer | 536 | 923 | 72% |
COVID infection | 660 | 819 | 24% |
No COVID infection | 525 | 915 | 74% |
In general, the study also noted that other certain groups were more likely to get into crashes, such as:
However, people with diseases like sleep apnea and diabetes aren’t the cause of most traffic crashes. Rather, human behaviors like the ones listed below are more likely to cause accidents.
In our teen speeding report, we found that 43 percent of teen drivers ages 16 to 18 sped, compared to 30 percent of the U.S. population across all age groups.2
The study’s researchers attributed these bad driving behaviors partially to a lack of:
Of course, even though the study found a correlation between being unvaccinated and a higher risk of getting in an accident, correlation doesn’t always mean causation.
Still, the researchers behind the report support safer driving and increased vaccination rates: “These data suggest that COVID vaccine hesitancy is associated with significant increased risks of a traffic crash. An awareness of these risks might help to encourage more COVID vaccination.”4
Ten threats to global health in 2019. World Health Organization. (2019).
https://www.who.int/news-room/spotlight/ten-threats-to-global-health-in-2019
Teens and Speeding. Governors Highway Safety Association. (2021, Jan).
https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2021-02/GHSA_TeenSpeeding_Feb16.pdf
Analysis of factors influencing aggressive driver behavior and crash involvement. National Library of Medicine. (2021, Sep 7).
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34491872/
COVID Vaccine Hesitancy and Risk of a Traffic Crash. The American Journal of Medicine. (2022, Dec 2).
https://www.amjmed.com/article/S0002-9343(22)00822-1/fulltext